Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.220290 0.261167 0.304860 0.354762 0.409903 0.468709 0.535900
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.167724 0.222990 0.286370 0.363326 0.453147 0.553642 0.673540
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.130631 0.194300 0.272334 0.372380 0.494673 0.636893 0.812360
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.096678 0.162481 0.248949 0.365937 0.515309 0.695218 0.923818
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.075069 0.142228 0.236472 0.370250 0.547533 0.767324 1.053273
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.055668 0.120647 0.218516 0.364406 0.564906 0.820392 1.160127
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.039001 0.098932 0.196619 0.349934 0.568533 0.854674 1.243222
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.030757 0.089329 0.191185 0.357566 0.601413 0.926917 1.375580
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.021869 0.075620 0.176808 0.349959 0.611693 0.968659 1.468691
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.018334 0.071983 0.178687 0.366971 0.657269 1.058573 1.626355
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.013571 0.063646 0.170794 0.367390 0.678034 1.114573 1.739668
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.009975 0.056609 0.164042 0.368698 0.699570 1.171585 1.854863
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.007792 0.052750 0.163190 0.380241 0.737724 1.253859 2.007434
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.006108 0.049575 0.163199 0.393082 0.778144 1.340118 2.166893
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.004700 0.046471 0.162822 0.405033 0.817390 1.425392 2.326329
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002912 0.039925 0.153433 0.399664 0.828579 1.470043 2.429996
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001966 0.036279 0.150123 0.405132 0.857119 1.540301 2.570180
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001060 0.030986 0.141480 0.399459 0.866826 1.582628 2.671417
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000402 0.024842 0.128804 0.384375 0.859746 1.599254 2.735989
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000217 0.022945 0.127751 0.392701 0.892423 1.676144 2.887383
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000053 0.019019 0.119335 0.384714 0.896414 1.709174 2.975899
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000029 0.018805 0.123001 0.402914 0.946603 1.813779 3.169028
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000003 0.016486 0.118794 0.403406 0.965357 1.869989 3.292359